APCEDI Alert 07P Cyclone Heta #1, 2004

Dear Colleagues

Alert #1

A small cyclonic system has formed about 300 nautical miles northwest of Apia or 100 nautical miles southwest of Tokelau. It is moving towards the north-northeast but is predicted to curve toward the south in the next few days. Countries or Island Dependencies which could be affected include Samoa, American Samoa, Tokelau, Tonga and Niue. The storm is small in intensity although slow strengthening is predicted. At this point damage to any of these areas would likely be minimal to locally moderate given the small size of the storm, confined to crops and insecure dwellings. However, careful attention should be paid to the system over the weekend and into next week, and all warnings should be heeded as rapid intensification and rapid shifts from the predicted course are possibilities.

More detailed information about the storm can be found on

https://metoc.npmoc.navy.mil//jtwc.html
http://www.met.gov.fj/advisories.html


Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator