APCEDI Alert CI/FP Tropical Depression TD 02F #4-2006: Tropical Depression 02F slowly dissipating between Vanuatu and Fiji

RSMC-Tropical Cyclone Centre, Nadi is continuing to issue guidance on Tropical Depression 02F that is slowly dissipating as it drifts between the islands of Northern Vanuatu and Northern Fiji.

TD 02F is moving south-southeast at 05 kt. It is in a broad area of convection lying between the Northern Islands of Vanuatu and Northern Fiji with the strongest convection lying 200 east of Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu or about 300 km northwest of Vanua Levu, Fiji. Given its current meteorological environment, this system should slowly dissipate as it drifts southeast. Nonetheless, all interests in the area particularly in Fiji, Vanuatu and later in the period, Tonga should remain vigilant as the system could produce heavy rain and strong winds that could result in localised flooding and minor wind damage.

FROM RSMC-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE, NADI

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
issued from RSMC NADI Dec 06/2327 UTC 2005 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 02F [1006HPA] CENTRE NEAR 14S 170E AT 062100UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR/VIS WITH ANIMATION AND PERIPHEREAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29-30C.

CONVECTION STILL REMAINS DISORGANISED. 02F LIES UNDER UPPER [250 HPA] TROUGH AXIS. OUTLOW NOW BECOMING RESTRICTED AS THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES, EXPOSING 02F TO STRONG WESTERLIES. SHEAR HAS NOW INCREASED TO
30 KNOTS OVER THE SYSTEM CENTRE. 02F IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER WEAKEN AS IT STEERS TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST.

POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY ON THIS SYSTEM.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.

APCEDI will discontinue reports on this system unless it re-intensifies or otherwise threatens to cause significant flooding.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

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