APCEDI ALERT Cyclone Kerry (05F) #13, 2005: Cyclone Kerry Dissipating in the Coral Sea

Cyclone Kerry continues to dissipate about 300 nm northwest of Grand Isle. The storm no longer poses an immediate threat to any land area and will likely continue to dissipate into an extratropical surface low. This will be the last APCEDI alert for this system unless it unexpectedly regenerates.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

120300Z6 POSITION NEAR 21.1S4 160.3E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (KERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 112330Z0 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 35 AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS VERY LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION AND COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS WRAPPED INTO THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 08P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHWARD AND TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 12 HOURS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL, DRY AIR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 10 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//

METEO FRANCE continues to issue Special Maritime Bulletins for the waters north and west of Grande Isle. Special attention should be paid to maritime interests in the Isles Suprises and Isles Chesterfields.

METEO FRANCE
http://www.meteo.nc/

WTNC01 NWBB 120244
A: BULLETIN METEOROLOGIQUE SPECIAL MARINE NUMERO 027.
B: AVIS DE TEMPETE REDIGE LE 12/01/05 A 02:30 UTC.
C: A 00:00 UTC LE 12/01/05, DEPRESSION TROPICALE FORTE "KERRY" :
- CENTREE PAR 20,9 SUD 160,0 EST. POSITION BONNE.
- PRESSION AU CENTRE ESTIMEE A 985 HPA.
- DEPLACEMENT SUD 04 NOEUDS.
D: VENTS MOYENS ESTIMES A 50 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 75 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 20 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 46 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 69 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON DE 30 NAUTIQUES AUTOUR DU CENTRE, MER TRES GROSSE. VENTS SUPERIEURS A 33 NOEUDS (RAFALES A 50 NOEUDS) DANS UN RAYON ENTRE 30 ET 120 NAUTIQUES DU CENTRE, MER GROSSE.
E: "KERRY" SE DEPLACE TRES LENTEMENT EN DIRECTION DU SUD.
F: POSITIONS PREVUES :
LE 12/01/05 A 0600 UTC : 21,2 SUD 160,1 EST.
LE 12/01/05 A 1200 UTC : 21,6 SUD 160,2 EST.
LE 12/01/05 A 1800 UTC : 21,9 SUD 159,9 EST.
LE 13/01/05 A 0000 UTC : 22,3 SUD 159,6 EST.

PROCHAIN BULLETIN SPECIAL MARINE LE 12/01/05 A 08:00 UTC.=

APCEDI will continue to monitor the progress of this tropical system.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/