APCEDI ALERT 12F #4, 2005: CYCLONE RAE WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION SOUTH OF MANGAIA

Minimal Cyclone Rae has weakened into a depression and is moving east southeast at 20 kt. Rae's centre lies about 180 miles (290 km) south of Mangaia. All models are now continuing to weaken the system south to southeast of the Southern Cooks.

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center has issued their Last Tracking Map for Cyclone Rae.

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COOKS ISLANDS WEATHER FROM FIJI METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE

Northern and Southern Cooks
Weather Bulletin issued from NWFC Nadi Mar 062315 UTC.

Situation:
Moist east to northeasterly winds cover the Northern Cooks.

Former Tropical Cyclone Rae [998 hPa] centre was located about 180 miles south of Mangaia at 062100 UTC and is moving east-southeast at about 20 knots and expected to decelerate.

Forecast to midnight tomorrow for the Southern Cooks:
Moderate to fresh northwesterly winds, gusty at times. Cloudy with occasional rain or showers and isolated squally thunderstorms. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate northerly swells.

Further outlook: Rain and winds gradually easing.

For Rarotonga:
Moderate to fresh northwesterly winds. Cloudy periods with a few showers. Moderate to rough seas.

Further outlook: Showers and winds gradually easing.

For the Northern Cooks:
Moderate east to northeast winds. Cloudy periods with isolated showers about most parts. Elsewhere, mainly fine. Moderate seas. Moderate northwest swells. Further outlook: Few showers developing from the north.
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This will be the last APCEDI Alert on this system unless conditions warrant.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator