APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone 07B (TD 3), #8, 2006: Cyclone 07B Wobbles off the Tamil Nadu Coast as it Begins to Weaken

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology continue to provide guidance on Cyclone 07B in the Bay of Bengal between Jaffna and Chennai. The centre of Cyclone 07B is now located about 300 km northeast of Jaffna and 420 km east-southeast of Chennai. It is largely stationary although in the last 6 hours it has been moving slowly east-northeastward at 2 kt.

The JTWC has issued 8 cyclone alerts for this system. It is currently at Tropical Storm strength and is forecast to slowly weaken. Since Cyclone 07B is moving slightly east-northeastward it is now moving away from both Sri Lanka and India. Therefore the chances of Cyclone 07B making landfall are now receding. However, a few coastal showers are still around coastal Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh.

Even though the dangers from the storm are receding, authorities, aid workers and residents in Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh in India should continue to maintain vigilance with this system in case it restrengthens or changes course.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

200300Z POSITION NEAR 11.1N 83.6E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 07B HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN TWO MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGES OVER THE ARABIAN SEA AND INDOCHINA. A DEEPENING MIDLATITUDE TROUGH CURRENTLY DIGGING INTO THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA WILL ERODE THE WESTERN STEERING RIDGE AND ENHANCE THE POLEWARD FLOW OF THE EASTERN STEERING RIDGE CAUSING TC 07B TO ACCELERATE POLEWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE CYCLONE WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CREATED BY THE APPROACHING TROUGH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z AND 210300Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 18th.
The cyclonic storm in the Bay of Bengal has weakened and was located near latitude 10.8N longitude and 83.7E at 0230 hours today 20th December 2005. The distance of the system is about 300 km northeast of Jaffna. It is moving away from the island.

However, the Northern deep seas will continue to experience strong winds, rough conditions and intermittent showers. The fishing and naval community is requested not to venture in to the said deep seas.

A few showers will be experienced in the Western, Sabaragamuwa, Central and Northwestern Provinces. Isolated thundershowers may develop in the Uva Province during the afternoon.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/26 Dated : 20th December, 2005
Subject : Deep Depression over Southwest Bay of Bengal moving towards north Tamilnadu -south Andhra Coasts

The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centered at 0230 IST of 20th December near Lat. 11.5o N and Long. 82.5o E about 300 km east of Cuddalore. The system is likely to move slowly in a northerly direction, recurve later and move northeastwards. The chances of the system crossing north Tamilnadu - south Andhra Pradesh coast have now receded.

However, under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls still likely along north Tamilnadu coast.

State of sea will continue to be rough along and off north Tamilnadu coast. Fishermen are advised to be cautious while venturing into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

ISOLATED HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS IS LIKELY ALONG NORTH TAMIL NADU & PONDICHERRY AND SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH AND ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS OVER NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH DURING NEXT 48 HOURS. STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMIL NADU-SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS DURING THE SAME PERIOD. STATE OF SEA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF TAMIL NADU COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA.

This will be the last APCEDI alert on this system unless it restrengthens or otherwise poses a risk to the region.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top righthand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone 07B (TD 3), #7, 2006: Cyclone 07B Largely Stationary off the Coast of Tamil Nadu

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology continue to provide guidance on Cyclone 07B in the Bay of Bengal between Jaffna and Chennai. Cyclone 07B has not yet been given a name by the Indian authorities. The centre of Cyclone 07B is now located about 250 km northeast of Jaffna, 250 km east of Nagapattinam and 300 km southeast of Chennai. It is largely stationary although in the last 6 hours it has been moving slowly northward at 2 kt.

The JTWC has issued 6 cyclone alerts for this system. It is currently at Tropical Storm strength and is forecast to maintain current strength or slowly weaken. Since Cyclone 07B is stationary to very slow moving off the northeast coast of Sri Lanka, outer rain bands continue to cycle across the northern part of the island bringing rain showers, some of them heavy.

The cyclone is now off the Tamil Nadu Coast, but there is great divergence between the models about its future course as it is in a weak steering environment. Rain bands continue to move into much of coastal Tamil Nadu from Nagapattinam north and in parts of southern and central Andhra Pradesh. A large area of convection continues to be situated just to the east of Chennai. There have been no reports of flooding or damage from Sri Lanka, and people from low-lying coastal areas are likely to be allowed to return later today. Evacuations began today in vulnerable coastal districts of of Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh including Cuddalore, Kancheepuram, Chennai, Tiruvallur and Nellore districts. Also schools and colleges in Cuddalore, Kancheepuram, Chennai and Tiruvallur districts remained closed today due to the rains. More details on the news can be found in The Hindu

Given the recent the heavy rainfall from Cyclones Baaz and Fanoos in the last few weeks, the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka is very high. Many rivers are also running very high. In addition Cyclone Fanoos last week impacted on much of the Jaffna Peninsula causing much light to moderate damage to roofs, crops and smalls houses. Much crop damage also occurred in Central Tamil Nadu. A riot in a flood relief centre in Chennai killed over 40 people earlier yesterday.

Therefore, as Cyclone 07B marks a continuation of this string of tropical cyclones, it could exacerbate the situation over the much of the area with flooding and wind damage. The risk for the Chennai/ Nellore area has been increasing given the shift in direction of the system in the last few days. Cyclone 07B, at its current strength and speed has the potential to cause localised to widespread flooding for flood-prone areas wherever it comes ashore. This includes storm surge flooding, flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh in India should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings. The Governments of both Sri Lanka and India are continuing to call on all fisherman and maritime interests in the area to stay in port in affected areas.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

190900Z POSITION NEAR 11.8N 82.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DECREASING CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 07B CONTINUES TO TRACK POLEWARD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGES OVER THE ARABIAN SEA AND INDOCHINA, RESPECTIVELY. AN UPSTREAM MIDLATITUDE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DEEPEN TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM WITHIN 24 HOURS. IN RESPONSE, THE EASTERN STEERING RIDGE AXIS WILL ORIENT SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST, AND TC 07B WILL BEGIN TO CURVE TOWARD THE NORTHEAST LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE CYCLONE WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS PARALLEL TO THE INDIAN COASTLINE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF HIGHER SHEAR AND DRY, STABLE AIR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z AND 200900Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 18th.
The cyclonic storm in the Bay of Bengal was located near latitude 11.5N longitude and 82.0E at 0900 hours today 19th December 2005. The distance of the system is about 200-250 km northeast of Jaffna. It is moving away from the island.

However, the Northern deep seas will continue to experience strong winds, rough conditions and intermittent showers. The fishing and naval community is requested not to venture in to the said deep seas.

There will be showers or thundershowers at several places in the Western, Sabaragamuwa, Central and Northwestern Provinces. Thundershowers may develop in the Uva Province during the afternoon.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/22 Dated : 19th December, 2005
Subject : Deep Depression over Southwest Bay of Bengal moving towards north Tamilnadu -south Andhra coasts

The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centered at 1130 hrs. IST of 19th December near Lat. 11.0o N and Long. 82.5o E about 250 km east of Nagapattinam. The system is likely to move in a northwesterly direction and cross north Tamilnadu - south Andhra coast between Cuddalore and Nellore by tomorrow, 20th December, night.

Under its influence widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls is likely along north Tamilnadu - south Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 48 hours. Strong winds with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely along and off the above coasts during the same period.

State of sea will be rough to very rough along and off north Tamilnadu - south Andhra coasts. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

ISOLATED HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS IS LIKELY ALONG NORTH TAMIL NADU & PONDICHERRY AND SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH AND ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS OVER REST TAMIL NADU AND NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH DURING NEXT 48 HOURS. STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMIL NADU-SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS DURING THE SAME PERIOD. STATE OF SEA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF TAMIL NADU COAST.

APCEDI will continue to monitor this cyclone.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top righthand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone 07B (TD 3), #6, 2006: Cyclone 07B Moving away from Sri Lanka towards Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology continue to provide guidance on Cyclone 07B in the Bay of Bengal between Jaffna and Chennai. Cyclone 07B has not yet been given a name by the Indian authorities. The centre of Cyclone 07B is now located about 300 km northeast of Jaffna and 340 km southeast of Chennai. It is moving slowly northward at 4 kt.

The JTWC has issued 5 cyclone alerts for this system. It is currently at Tropical Storm strength and is forecast to maintain current strength. Cyclone 07B is now moving away from Sri Lanka, although outer rain bands continue to cycle across the island bringing rain showers, some of them heavy. The cyclone is now paralleling the Tamil Nadu Coast. Rain bands continue to move into much of coastal Tamil Nadu from Nagapattinam north and in parts of southern and central Andhra Pradesh. A large area of convection continues to be situated just to the east of Chennai. There have been no reports of flooding or damage from Sri Lanka, and people from low-lying coastal areas are likely to be allowed to return later today. Evacuations may begin in vulnerable coastal areas of Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh today.

Given the recent the heavy rainfall from Cyclones Baaz and Fanoos in the last few weeks, the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka is very high. Many rivers are also running very high. In addition Cyclone Fanoos last week impacted on much of the Jaffna Peninsula causing much light to moderate damage to roofs, crops and smalls houses. Much crop damage also occurred in Central Tamil Nadu. A riot in a flood relief centre in Chennai killed over 40 people earlier yesterday.

Therefore, as Cyclone 07B marks a continuation of this string of tropical cyclones, it could exacerbate the situation over the much of the area with flooding and wind damage. The risk for the Chennai area is also starting to increase given the shift in direction of the system. Cyclone 07B, at its current strength and speed has the potential to cause localised to widespread flooding for flood-prone areas wherever it comes ashore. This includes storm surge flooding, flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh in India should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings. The Governments of both Sri Lanka and India are continuing to call on all fisherman and maritime interests in the area to stay in port.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

182100Z POSITION NEAR 11.4N 82.8E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 185 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DECREASING CONVECTION AND INCREASING SHEAR AS TC 07B TRACKS NORTHWARD IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BETWEEN MID-LEVEL STEERING ANTICYCLONES ANCHORED OVER THE ARABIAN SEA AND INDOCHINA, RESPECTIVELY. TC 07B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS PARALLEL TO THE INDIAN COASTLINE INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF HIGHER SHEAR AND DRY, STABLE AIR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z AND 192100Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 18th.
The cyclonic storm in the Bay of Bengal was located near latitude 11.1N longitude and 82.6E at 0230 hours today 19th December 2005. The distance of the system is about 300 km northeast of Jaffna. It is moving away from the island.

However, the North sea will continue to experience strong winds, rough conditions and intermittent showers. The fishing and naval community is requested not to venture to the seas extending from Mannar to Potuwil through Jaffna and Tricomalee during the next 24 hours.

Occasional showers or thundershowers, heavy in some places, are expected in Western, Sabaragamuwa, Central, Northwestern and Southern Provinces. A few showers will be experienced elsewhere. Fairly strong winds at times will also be experienced over the Western slopes of the Central Highlands.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/19 Dated : 19th December, 2005
Subject : Deep Depression over Southwest Bay of Bengal moving towards north Tamilnadu coast

The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centered at 0230 hrs. IST of 19th December near Lat. 11.0o N and Long. 82.5o E about 250 km east of Nagapattinam. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a northwesterly direction and cross north Tamilnadu - south Andhra coast between Cuddalore and Nellore by today night.

Under its influence widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls is likely along north Tamilnadu - south Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 48 hours. Strong winds with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely along and off the above coasts during the same period.

State of sea will be rough to very rough along and off north Tamilnadu - south Andhra coasts. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

ISOLATED HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS IS LIKELY ALONG NORTH TAMIL NADU & PONDICHERRY AND SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH AND ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS OVER REST TAMIL NADU AND NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH DURING NEXT 48 HOURS. STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMIL NADU-SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS DURING THE SAME PERIOD. STATE OF SEA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF TAMIL NADU COAST.

APCEDI will continue to monitor this cyclone as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top righthand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone 07B (TD 3), #5, 2006: Cyclone 07B Continues to Track Slowly off Northeast Sri Lanka Coast

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology continue to provide guidance on Cyclone 07B in the Bay of Bengal, northeast of Sri Lanka. Cyclone 07B has not yet been given a name by the Indian authorities. The centre of Cyclone 07B is now located about 220 km east of Jaffna, 350 km southeast of Nagapattinam, and 350 km south-southeast of Chennai. It is moving to the northwest at 5 kt.

The JTWC has issued 4 cyclone alerts for this system. It is currently at Tropical Storm strength and is forecast to slowly strengthen or maintain current strength. Due to the change in course to the north, the likelihood of the centre crossing Northern Sri Lanka continues to lessen. However, it continues to parallel the northeast coast just offshore, and if it stays on its present course, will likewise begin to parallel the Tamil Nadu Coast later tomorrow. A large area of convection continues to be situated just to the northeast of Sri Lanka, and the cyclone continues to cycle outer rain bands, some occasionally heavy, across northern and eastern parts of the country.

Evacuations have remained in force tonight in Sri Lanka for many low-lying coastal areas in northern and northeastern parts of the island including low-lying, flood-prone areas of Jaffna, Trincomalee, Batticaloa and Kalmunai. Rain bands are also starting to move into much of coastal Tamil Nadu from Nagapattinam north and in parts of southern and central Andhra Pradesh. Evacuations may begin in vulnerable coastal areas of these Indian states tomorrow.

Given the recent the heavy rainfall from Cyclones Baaz and Fanoos in the last few weeks, the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka is very high. Many rivers are also running very high. In addition Cyclone Fanoos last week impacted on much of the Jaffna Peninsula causing much light to moderate damage to roofs, crops and smalls houses. Much crop damage also occurred in Central Tamil Nadu. A riot in a flood relief centre in Chennai killed over 40 people earlier today.

Therefore, as Cyclone 07B marks a continuation of this string of tropical cyclones, it could exacerbate the situation over the much of the area with flooding and wind damage. This is particularly true for the Jaffna Peninsula and for internally displaced people still in temporary housing from last year's tsunami. The risk for the Chennai area is also starting to increase given the shift in direction of the system. Cyclone 07B, at its current strength and speed has the potential to cause localised to widespread flooding for flood-prone areas wherever it comes ashore. This includes storm surge flooding, flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh in India should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings. The Governments of both Sri Lanka and India are again calling on all fisherman and maritime interests in the area to stay in port.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

180900Z POSITION NEAR 10.7N 82.2E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A BROAD, MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC ENVIRONMENT WITH SEPARATE RIDGES TO THE EAST AND WEST OF THE STORM. TC 07B CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE WEAKENING MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE CENTERED OVER INDOCHINA. AS THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THIS EASTERN RIDGE SUBSIDES, THE CYCLONE WILL TRACK SLOWLY POLEWARD AND NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COAST OF INDIA. ALTHOUGH TC 07B RECENTLY STRENGTHENED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, FURTHER INTENSIFICATION WILL BE LIMITED AS THE CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND AND AS LOW- TO MID-LEVEL DRY AIR OVER EASTERN INDIA IS DRAWN INTO THE STORM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z AND 190900Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 18th.
The cyclonic storm in the Bay of Bengal was located near latitude 10.0N longitude and 82.5E at 1000 hours today 18th December 2005. The distance of the system is about 200-250 km East of Jaffna. It is likely intensify further and move in a Northwest direction towards the Tamilnadu coast of South India. The system is unlikely to cross Northern part of Sri Lanka.

The fishing and naval community is requested not to venture to the seas extending from Puttalam to Potuwil through Jaffna and Tricomalee as the seas will experience strong winds, very rough conditions and continuous rain during the next 24 hours.

Occasional showers or thundershowers, heavy in some places, and strong winds up to 80kmph are expected in Northern, Eastern, North-Central and North-western Provinces. Western, Central and Sabaragamuwa Provinces will also experience fairly strong winds and rain at times.

Low lying coastal zones from Puttalam to Mullativu through Jaffna are likely to be inundated by sea waves generated by strong winds.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/14 Dated : 18th December, 2005
Subject : Deep Depression over Southwest Bay of Bengal moving towards north Tamilnadu coast

The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centered at 1130 hrs. IST of 18th December near Lat. 10.0o N and Long. 83.0o E about 350 km east-southeast of Nagapattinam. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a northwesterly direction and cross north Tamilnadu coast between Nagapattinam and Chennai by tomorrow, 19th December, evening. .

Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy fall is likely along north Tamilnadu - south Andhra Pradesh coasts during next 48 hours. Strong winds with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely along and off the above coasts during the same period.

State of sea will be rough to very rough along and off north Tamilnadu - south Andhra Pradesh coasts. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

ISOLATED HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS IS LIKELY ALONG NORTH TAMIL NADU & PONDICHERRY AND SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESHT AND ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS OVER REST TAMIL NADU AND NORTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH DURING NEXT 48 HOURS. STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMIL NADU-SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS DURING THE SAME PERIOD. STATE OF SEA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF TAMIL NADU COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA.

APCEDI will continue to monitor this cyclone as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top righthand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone 07B (TD 3), #4, 2006: Cyclone 07B Tracking Slowly off Northeast Sri Lanka Coast

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology continue to provide guidance on Cyclone 07B in the Bay of Bengal, east of Sri Lanka. Cyclone 07B has not yet been given a name by the Indian authorities, but this should occur later today. The centre of Cyclone 07B is now located about 200 km northeast of Batticaloa, 400 km southeast of Nagapattinam, and 500 km south-southeast of Chennai. It is moving to the northward at 5 kt.

The JTWC has issued 3 cyclone alerts for this system. It is currently at Tropical Storm strength and is forecast to slowly strengthen. Due to the change in course to the north, the likelihood of the centre crossing Northern Sri Lanka is lessening. However, it continues to parallel the northeast coast just offshore. A large area of convection continues to be situated just to the northeast of Sri Lanka, and the cyclone continues to cycle outer rain bands, some occasionally heavy, across northern and eastern parts of the country. Evacuations have remained in force today in Sri Lanka for many low-lying coastal areas in northern, northeastern, eastern, parts of the island including low-lying, flood-prone areas of Jaffna, Trincomalee, Batticaloa and Kalmunai.

Given the recent the heavy rainfall from Cyclones Baaz and Fanoos in the last few weeks, the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka is very high. Many rivers are also running very high. In addition Cyclone Fanoos last week impacted on much of the Jaffna Peninsula causing much light to moderate damage to roofs, crops and smalls houses. Much crop damage also occurred in Central Tamil Nadu.

Therefore, as Cyclone 07B marks a continuation of this string of tropical cyclones, it could exacerbate the situation over the much of the area with flooding and wind damage. This is particularly true for the Jaffna Peninsula and for internally displaced people still in temporary housing from last year's tsunami. Cyclone 07B, at its current strength and speed has the potential to cause localised to widespread flooding for flood-prone areas wherever it comes ashore. This includes storm surge flooding, flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Southern Andhra Pradesh in India should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings. The Governments of both Sri Lanka and India are again calling on all fisherman and maritime interests in the area to stay in port.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

172100Z POSITION NEAR 9.7N 83.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 07B CONTINUES TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN INDOCHINA. THE STORM WILL INTENSIFY MODESTLY AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z AND 182100Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 18th.
The depression in the Bay of Bengal has intensified into a cyclonic storm and was located near latitude 09.5N longitude and 83.E at 0230 hours today 18th December 2005. The distance of the system is about 200-250 km Northeast of Batticaloa. It is likely intensify further and move in a Northwest direction towards the Tanilnadu coast of South India. The system is unlikely to cross Northern part of Sri Lanka.

The fishing and naval community is requested not to venture to the seas extending from Puttalam to Potuwil through Jaffna and Tricomalee as the seas will experience strong winds, very rough conditions and continuous rain during the next 24 hours.

Occasional showers or thundershowers, heavy in some places, and strong winds up to 80kmph are expected in Northern, Eastern, North-Central and North-western Provinces. Western, Central and Sabaragamuwa Provinces will also experience fairly strong winds and rain at times.

Low lying coastal zones from Puttalam to Mullativu through Jaffna are likely to be inundated by sea waves generated by strong winds.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/10 Dated : 18th December, 2005

Subject : Deep Depression over Southwest Bay of Bengal

The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal moved northwestward and lay centered at 2330 hrs. IST of 17th December near Lat. 9.00 N and Long. 83.00 E about 400 km southeast of Nagapattinam. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a northwesterly direction.

The numerical weather prediction products suggest that this system is likely to move towards Tamilnadu coast during the next 48 hours after skirting north Srilanka coast.

Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy fall is likely along Tamilnadu coast during next 48 hours. Strong winds with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely along and off Tamilnadu coast during the same period.

State of sea will be rough to very rough along and off Tamilnadu coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

ISOLATED HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS IS LIKELY ALONG TAMILNADU COAST AND ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS OVER SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH DURING NEXT 48 HOURS. STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND OFF TAMILNADU COAST DURING THE SAME PERIOD. STATE OF SEA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF TAMILNADU COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA.

APCEDI will continue to monitor this cyclone as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top righthand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone 07B (TD 3), #3, 2006: Cyclone 07B Approaching Northeast Coast of Sri Lanka

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology continue to provide guidance on Cyclone 07B in the Bay of Bengal, east of Sri Lanka. Cyclone 07B has not yet been given a name by the Indian authorities, but this is like tonight or early tomorrow. The centre of Cyclone 07B is located about 350 km east of Colombo, 200 km east of Batticaloa and 450 km southeast of Nagapattinam and is moving to the northwest at 7 kt.

The JTWC has issued 2 cyclone alerts for this system. It is currently at Tropical Storm strength and is forecast to slowly strengthen. It will possibly cross the northeast coast of Sri Lanka sometime tomorrow, although recent models have slightly shifted its track to paralleling the northeast coast just offshore. A large area of convection is now situated just to the northeast of Sri Lanka and outer rain bands continue to approach the Sri Lankan northern and eastern coasts. Evacuations have been occurring today in Sri Lanka for many low-lying coastal areas in northern, northeastern, eastern, southeastern and southern parts of the island including low-lying, flood-prone areas of Jaffna, Trincomalee, Batticaloa, Kalmunai and Hambantota. Outer rainbands, some heavy, have been affecting most of these areas throughout the day.

Given the recent the heavy rainfall from Cyclones Baaz and Fanoos in the last few weeks, the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka is very high. Many rivers are also running very high. In addition Cyclone Fanoos last week impacted on much of the Jaffna Peninsula causing much light to moderate damage to roofs, crops and smalls houses. Much crop damage also occurred in Central Tamil Nadu.

Therefore, as Cyclone 07B marks a continuation of this string of tropical cyclones, it could exacerbate the situation over the much of the area with flooding and wind damage. This is particularly true for the Jaffna Peninsula and for internally displaced people still in temporary housing from last year's tsunami. Cyclone 07B, at its current strength and speed has the potential to cause localised to widespread flooding for flood-prone areas throughout much of Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka. This includes storm surge flooding, flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Southern Andhra Pradesh in India should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings. The Governments of both Sri Lanka and India are again calling on all fisherman and maritime interests in the area to stay in port.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

170900Z POSITION NEAR 8.5N 83.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 330 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ON THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN INDOCHINA. THE TRACK OF THE SYSTEM HAS SHIFTED POLEWARD OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS IN RESPONSE TO A TRANSIENT MIDLATITUDE TROUGH OVER NORTHERN INDIA. THE STORM SHOULD INTENSIFY MODESTLY IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z AND 180900Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 17th-18th.
The depression in the Bay of Bengal was near latitude 08.0N longitude and 84.5E at 0900 today 17th December 2005. The distance of the system is about 200-250 km East of Batticoloa. It is likely to be intensified as a cyclonic storm and to move in a west-northwest direction. The centre is expected to cross the Eastern coast between Trincomalee and Jaffna, tomorrow.

The fishing and naval community is requested not to venture to the seas extending from Mannar to Batticaloa through Jaffna, tomorrow as the seas will experience strong winds (up to 80-100 kmph), very rough conditions and rain during the next 36 hours.

Intermittent rain or thundershowers, heavy in some places, and strong winds up to 80kmph are expected in Northern, Eastern, North-Central Provinces. Western, Central, Uva and Sabaragamuwa Provinces will also experience fairly strong winds and rain at times.

Low lying coastal zones north of Trincomalee are likely to be inundated by sea waves generated by strong winds.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/07 Dated : 17th December, 2005

Subject : Deep Depression over Southwest Bay of Bengal
The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal moved north-westwards and lay centered at 1430 IST of 17th December, 2005 near Lat. 8.50 N and Long. 83.50 E about 500 km southeast of Nagapattinam. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterly direction.

The numerical weather prediction products suggest that this system is likely to move towards Tamilnadu coast across northern Srilanka during the next 48 hours.

Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls is likely along Tamilnadu coast during next 48 hours. Strong winds with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely along and off Tamilnadu coast during the same period.

State of sea will be rough to very rough along and off Tamilnadu coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

ISOLATED HEAVY FALL IS LIKELY ALONG TAMILNADU COAST DURING NEXT 48 HOURS. STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND OFF TAMILNADU COAST DURING THE SAME PERIOD. STATE OF SEA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF TAMILNADU COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA.


APCEDI will continue to monitor this cyclone as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top righthand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone 07B (TD 3), #2, 2006: Cyclone 07B Bears Down on Sri Lanka

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology continue to provide guidance on Cyclone 07B in the Bay of Bengal, east of Sri Lanka. Cyclone 07B has not yet been given a name by the Indian authorities, but this is like to occur later today. The centre of Cyclone 07B is located about 350 km east of Colombo, 200 km east of Batticaloa and 450 km southeast of Nagapattinam and is moving slowly to the west.

The JTWC has issued 1 cyclone alert for this system. It is currently at Tropical Storm strength and will likely cross the east coast of Sri Lanka sometime tomorrow. A large area of convection is now situated just to the east and northeast of Sri Lanka and outer rain bands are currently approaching the Sri Lanka east coast. Evacuations have been occurring today in Sri Lanka for many low-lying coastal areas in northern, northeastern, eastern, southeastern and southern parts of the island including low-lying, flood-prone areas of Jaffna, Trincomalee, Batticaloa, Kalmunai and Hambantota. Outer rainbands, some heavy, have been affecting most of these areas throughout the day. Outer rainbands, some heavy, have been affecting most of these areas throughout the day.

Given the recent the heavy rainfall from Cyclones Baaz and Fanoos in the last few weeks, the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka is very high. Many rivers are also running very high. In addition Cyclone Fanoos last week impacted on much of the Jaffna Peninsula causing much light to moderate damage to roofs, crops and smalls houses. Much crop damage also occurred in Central Tamil Nadu.

Therefore, as Cyclone 07B marks a continuation of this string of tropical cyclones, it could exacerbate the situation over the much of the area with flooding and wind damage. Cyclone 07B, at its current strength and speed has the potential to cause localised to widespread flooding for flood-prone areas throughout much of Sri Lanka. This includes storm surge flooding, flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Southern Andhra Pradesh in India should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings. The Governments of both Sri Lanka and India are again calling on all fisherman and maritime interests in the area to stay in port.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

170300z position near 7.5n 83.3e.
Tropical cyclone (tc) 07b, located approximately 220 nm east of Colombo, Sri Lanka, has tracked westward at 06 knots
over the past 06 hours. The system has tracked westward along the southern periphery of a mid-level steering ridge building
over the Bay of Bengal. Tc 07b is expected to make landfall along the East Coast of Sri Lanka in approximately 24 hours. The system is forecast to track slightly poleward later in the forecast period as a deepening trough tracking eastward over India weakens the steering ridge. This warning supersedes and cancels ref a, navpacmetoccen 161951zdec2005 tropical cyclone formation alert (wtio21 pgtw 162000). Maximum significant wave height at 170000z is 13 feet. Next warnings at 171500z and 180300z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 17th-18th.
The depression in the Bay of Bengal was near latitude 08.0N longitude and 84.5E at 0900 today 17th December 2005. The distance of the system is about 200-250 km East of Batticoloa. It is likely to be intensified as a cyclonic storm and to move in a west-northwest direction. The centre is expected to cross the Eastern coast between Trincomalee and Jaffna, tomorrow.

The fishing and naval community is requested not to venture to the seas extending from Mannar to Batticaloa through Jaffna, tomorrow as the seas will experience strong winds (up to 80-100 kmph), very rough conditions and rain during the next 36 hours.

Intermittent rain or thundershowers, heavy in some places, and strong winds up to 80kmph are expected in Northern, Eastern, North-Central Provinces. Western, Central, Uva and Sabaragamuwa Provinces will also experience fairly strong winds and rain at times.

Low lying coastal zones north of Trincomalee are likely to be inundated by sea waves generated by strong winds.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

Subject : Deep Depression over Southwest Bay of Bengal

The depression over southwest Bay of Bengal moved westwards and has further intensified into a deep depression and lay centered at 0830 hrs. IST of 17th December, 2005 near lat. 8.00 N and Long. 84.00 E about 550 km southeast of Nagapattinam. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a west-northwesterly direction.

The numerical weather prediction products suggest that this system is likely to move towards Tamilnadu coast across northern Srilanka during the next 48 hours.

Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy fall is likely along Tamilnadu coast during next 48 hours. Strong winds with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely along and off Tamilnadu coast during the same period.

State of sea will be rough to very rough along and off Tamilnadu coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

ISOLATED HEAVY FALL IS LIKELY ALONG TAMILNADU COAST DURING NEXT 48 HOURS. STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND OFF TAMILNADU COAST DURING THE SAME PERIOD. STATE OF SEA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF TAMILNADU COAST. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA.


APCEDI will continue to monitor this cyclone as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top righthand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone 07B (TD 3), #1, 2006: New Cyclone forms in Bay of Bengal, Threatens Sri Lanka

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology are providing guidance on newly formed Cyclone 07B in the Bay of Bengal, east of Sri Lanka. Cyclone 07B has not yet been given a name by the Indian authorities, but this is like to occur later today. The centre of Cyclone 07B is located about 400 km east of Colombo, 250 km east of Batticaloa and 500 km southeast of Nagapattinam and is moving to the west at 06 kt.

The JTWC has issued 1 cyclone alert for this system. It is currently at Tropical Storm strength and will likely cross the east coast of Sri Lanka sometime tomorrow. A large area of convection is now situated just to the east of Sri Lanka and outer rain bands are currently approaching the Sri Lanka east coast.

Given the recent the heavy rainfall from Cyclones Baaz and Fanoos in the last few weeks, the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka is very high. Many rivers are also running very high. In addition Cyclone Fanoos last week impacted on much of the Jaffna Peninsula causing much light to moderate damage to roofs, crops and smalls houses.

Therefore as Cyclone 07B marks a continuation of this string of tropical cyclones, it could exacerbate the situation over the much of the area with flooding and wind damage. Cyclone 07B, at its current strength and speed has the potential to cause localised to widespread flooding for flood-prone areas throughout much of Sri Lanka. This includes storm surge flooding, flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Southern Andhra Pradesh in India should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings. The Governments of both Sri Lanka and India are again calling on all fisherman and maritime interests in the area to stay in port.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

170300z position near 7.5n 83.3e.
Tropical cyclone (tc) 07b, located approximately 220 nm east of Colombo, Sri Lanka, has tracked westward at 06 knots
over the past 06 hours. The system has tracked westward along the southern periphery of a mid-level steering ridge building
over the Bay of Bengal. Tc 07b is expected to make landfall along the East Coast of Sri Lanka in approximately 24 hours. The system is forecast to track slightly poleward later in the forecast period as a deepening trough tracking eastward over India weakens the steering ridge. This warning supersedes and cancels ref a, navpacmetoccen 161951zdec2005 tropical cyclone formation alert (wtio21 pgtw 162000). Maximum significant wave height at 170000z is 13 feet. Next warnings at 171500z and 180300z.//

SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 17th.
The depression in the Bay of Bengal was centered about 250km East of Batticaloa on 17th at 0230 hours. It is likely to be intensified as a cyclonic storm. Fishing and naval communities are advised to refrain from activities in the deep and shallow seas off east and southeast coasts of Sri Lanka.

There will be showers or thundershowers with fairly strong winds in the North, Eastern, North-Central and Uva Provinces, eastern slopes of the central hills, and at places in the Nuwaraeliya, Matale and Humbantota districts.

Winds will be Northwesterly or Variable and the speed will be 20-50 km/h.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

The depression over southwest Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centered at 1730 hrs. IST of 16th December, 2005 near Lat. 8.00 N and Long. 84.50 E about 600 km southeast of Nagapattinam. The system is likely to move in a west-northwesterly direction.

The numerical weather prediction products suggest that this system is likely to move towards Tamilnadu coast as a depression during next 48 hours.

Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy fall is likely to commence along Tamilnadu coast from late tonight. Strong winds with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely to commence along and off Tamilnadu coast from 17th morning.

State of sea will be rough to very rough along and off Tamilnadu coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.

Next bulletin will be issued tomorrow.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO COMMENCE ALONG TAMILNADU COAST FROM TONIGHT. STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND OFF TAMILNADU COAST FROM TOMORROW MORNING. STATE OF SEA OFF TAMILNADU COAST WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA.


APCEDI will continue to monitor this cyclone as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top righthand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD 2), #10, 2006: Cyclone Fanoos Dissipates over Tamil Nadu

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology are providing final guidance on Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD2), which is now dissipating over land in Tamil Nadu.

Cyclone Fanoos weakened rapidly just before crossing the Tamil Nadu Coast near Vedaranyam around 11:00 AM local time (IST) yesterday. Fanoos continues to weaken as it tracks west at 8 kt, and the remnants are now on the Tamil Nadu-Kerala Border southwest of Vedaranyam. Areas of heavy rain continue over much of the South and Central Tamil Nadu Hill Country moving into Southern Kerala.

The JTWC has issued their 11th and final cyclone alert for this system. A flooding risk continues over the hill country of Tamil Nadu and Kerala States. Both India and Sri Lanka are continuing to warn all maritime and fishing interests in affected areas to stay in port although restrictions may be lifted later today or tomorrow. While the remnants of Fanoos will continue to weaken rapidly now that is it over land, very heavy rain will continue over much of the area for another 12-24 hours.

Damage reports are beginning to come in from the area.

Sri Lanka: The Tamil Net News Service is reporting widespread minor to moderate damage in Northern Sri Lanka especially in the Jaffna Peninsula with areas of more severe damage. This news service is reporting that thousands of homes have been damaged or destroyed particularly in Vadamaradchy north and east. There are no reports of injuries or deaths. Damage assessments are continuing.

Tamil Nadu:The Hindu is preliminarily reporting only minor damage to homes and buildings throughout affected coastal areas in large part due to the storm weakening rapidly just before impact yesterday. However, the effects on the agriculture sector are likely to be more severe from initial reports. The 30,000 people evacuated from Nagapattinam District are now being allowed to return home. The Chennai area did not receive much rain so the flooding situation was not exacerbated there. Damage assessments are continuing.

More details on the situation in Tamil Nadu can be found in The Hindu. More news on the situation in Sri Lanka can be found in The Lanka Academic.

Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) in Northern Sri Lanka should now try to assess the level and nature of the damage there, to determine the needs of the displaced and affected communities.

FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

102100Z POSITION NEAR 9.8N 78.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (FANOOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM EAST OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. LANDFALL HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED TC 06B. HOWEVER, A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK THAN EXPECTED WILL RESULT IN LESS TIME OVER LAND PRIOR TO THE LOW LEVEL REEMERGING IN THE ARABIAN SEA. WHILE REGENERATION IS NOT EXPECTED, THE SITUATION WARRANTS FURTHER OBSERVATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.//

SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 11th.
Cyclonic storm "Fanoos", is moving away from the island. There will be showers in several places Northern, Eastern, North central and Northwestern, Western and Sabaragamuwa provinces during the morning. Scattered thundershowers will develop in most provinces during the afternoon and night.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal moved westwards and crossed Tamil Nadu coast near Vedaranniyam this morning around 1100 hrs. IST and has further weakened into a depression at 1130 hrs. IST with its center close to Vedaranniyam over land. It now lies at 1430 hrs. IST near Vedaranniyam over land. It will continue to move further in a westerly direction and weaken gradually. Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls are likely over Tamilnadu during next 24 hrs. State of sea will be rough to very rough along and off Tamilnadu coast during next 12 hrs.. Fishermen along the above coast are advised not to venture into the sea for another 12 hrs.
Rainfall activity over Tamilandu is likely to decrease after 24 hrs. However, it is likely to increase over Kerala and commence over South Interior Karnataka and Lakshadweep from tonight.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

Isolated heavy to very heavy falls are likely over Tamil Nadu & Pondicherry . Isolated heavy falls also likely over Nicobar Islands and Kerala.

State of the sea will be rough to very rough along and off Tamilnadu coast during next 12 hrs.. Fishermen along the above coasts are advised not to venture into the sea for another 12 hrs.


APCEDI will determine whether further advisories are needed on the system and issue them as necessary.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top right-hand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD 2), #9, 2006: Cyclone Fanoos Crosses the Tamil Nadu Coast near Vedaranyam

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology are continuing to provide guidance on Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD2), which has just crossed the Tamil Nadu Coast.

Cyclone Fanoos crossed the Tamil Nadu Coast near Vedaranyam around 11:00 AM local time (IST). Fanoos is tracking slowly west at 4 kt. The center of the storm is now just to the west of Vedaranyam. Heavy rain bands continue over much of the Central Tamil Nadu Coast and the Jaffna Peninsula. Lighter rain bands extend south and north along the Tamil Nadu Coast up to the Andhra Pradesh Border. Lighter rain bands are also over parts of Sri Lanka south of the Jaffna Peninsula.

The JTWC has issued 10 cyclone alerts for this system. This continues to be a serious situation for Tamil Nadu State, especially central and northern coastal areas, and for Northern Sri Lanka, especially the Jaffna Peninsula. Both countries are continuing to warn all maritime and fishing interests in affected areas to stay in port. While Fanoos will continue to weaken rapidly now that is it over land, very heavy rain will continue over much of the area for another 12-24 hours. Rainfall will be exacerbated by the slow movement of the storm.

No major damage reports have yet been received from these areas as the storm is still continuing, although some power outages are being reported from the Jaffna Peninsula and along the Central Tamil Nadu Coast. It is likely that there are areas of widespread minor to moderate to locally severe damage on the Jaffna Peninsula and adjacent areas of Northern Sri Lanka. Tsunami refugees in these areas, many still in temporary shelters, could be particularly badly affected.

Given the heavy flooding in Tamil Nadu from Cyclone Baaz, and the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka from subsequent tropical waves, Cyclone Fanoos still has the potential to cause widespread severe to localised devastating flooding across the area in and around where it comes ashore including areas of Northern Sri Lanka and Tamil Nadu State. This includes storm surge flooding, continued flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas.

While it looks like the main areas of heavy rain will continue to the south of Chennai, the state capital's 2 main rivers, the Adyar and Cooum, continue at or near flood stage in many areas throughout the city and in rural areas. Thus any additional heavy rain in and around Chennai has the potential to make the situation much worse.

More details on the news of the flooding in Tamil Nadu can be found in The Hindu. More news on the situation in Sri Lanka can be found in The Lanka Academic.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Southern Andhra Pradesh should continue to maintain extreme vigilance with this system, especially from the threats associated with flooding. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings.


FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

100900Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 80.0E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (FANOOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM SOUTH OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 06B WILL CONTINUE ITS WESTERLY TRACK UNDER THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN BAY OF BENGAL. THE SYSTEM HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO DISSIPATE AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO AS THE SYSTEM MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN INDIA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 11 FEET. NEXT WARNING AT 102100Z.
NNNN


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 10-11th.
Cyclonic storm "Fanoos", was centred about 50 km north of Jaffna at 1200 hours today (10th). It is moving slowly away towards Tamilnadu coast. However, very strong winds and showers will continue in the northern parts of the island tonight. The sea areas off the coast extending from Mannar to Trincomalee via Jaffna will experience very rough conditions, strong winds and intermittent rain and thundershowers. Therefore, it is requested to refrain from fishing and naval activities in the said areas.

Northern, Northwestern, Eastern and North central provinces will experience rain or thundershowers with strong winds. Cloudy and occasional rain and thundershowers with fairly strong winds are expected in the Central, Western, and Sabaragamuwa provinces.

Coastal belt from Jaffna to Kalpitiya may be inundated by sea waves generated by strong winds.

Northern, Eastern and North central provinces will experience rain or thundershowers with strong winds. Cloudy and occasional rain and thundershowers are expected in Northwestern, Central, Western, and Sabaragamuwa provinces.

Winds will be Northwesterly or Variable and the speed will be 40-80 km/h gusting up to 100 km/h in the northern areas.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/34 Dated : 10th December, 2005
Subject : Deep depression over Tamilnadu coast

The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal crossed north Tamilnadu coast near Vedaranyam this morning around 1100 hrs. IST and has further weakened into a depression which lies centered at 1130 hrs. IST over land close to Vedaranyam. It is likely to move in a westerly direction and weaken further.

Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy to very heavy falls are likely over Tamilnadu during next 24 hours.

State of sea will be rough to very rough along and off Tamilnadu coast during the next 12 hours. Fishermen along the above coast are advised not to venture into the sea for another 12 hours.

Next bulletin will be issued around 2100 hrs. IST.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

1.) ISOLATED HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS ARE LIKELY OVER TAMIL NADU & PONDICHERRY . ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS ALSO LIKELY OVER NICOBAR ISLANDS, KERALA AND LAKSHADWEEP.

2. SQUALLY WINDS SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ARE LIKELY ALONG AND OFF TAMIL NADU COAST BETWEEN TONDI AND PONDICHERRY DURING NEXT 12 HOURS. STATE OF THE SEA WILL BE ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF TAMILNADU COAST DURING THE SAME PERIOD. FISHERMEN ALONG THE ABOVE COASTS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA DURING NEXT 12 HRS..


APCEDI will continue to monitor the progress of Cyclone Fanoos as it continues to move inland.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top right-hand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD 2), #8, 2006:Cyclone Fanoos Strengthens as it crosses Jaffna Peninsula toward the Tamil Nadu Coast

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology are continuing to provide guidance on Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD2) in the Bay of Bengal.

Cyclone Fanoos is located about 200 km east-northeast of Jaffna, Sri Lanka or 300 km southeast of Cuddalore, Tamil Nadu and is again picking up forward speed to the west. Fanoos has strengthened to a Category 1 Cyclone on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. The JTWC has issued 9 cyclone alerts for this system. Heavy rain bands of the system are moving across Northern Sri Lanka and continuing to come onshore in coastal Tamil Nadu. This is a serious situation for both Southeast India and Northern Sri Lanka with both nations being impacted by Fanoos. Both countries are warning all maritime and fishing interests in affected areas to stay in port. Satellite imagery is showing that Fanoos is currently crossing over the Jaffna Peninsula. It is therefore likely that minor to moderate damage on the Jaffna Peninsula and adjacent areas of Northern Sri Lanka could be widespread and in some areas locally severe. Tsunami refugees in these areas, many still in temporary shelters, could be particularly badly affected.

Given the heavy flooding in Tamil Nadu from Cyclone Baaz, and the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka from subsequent tropical waves, Cyclone Fanoos has the potential to cause widespread severe to localised devastating flooding across the area in and around where it comes ashore including areas of Northern Sri Lanka and coastal Tamil Nadu State. This includes storm surge flooding, continued flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas. Chennai's 2 main rivers, the Adyar and Cooum continue at or near flood stage in many areas throughout the city and in rural areas. Thus any additional heavy rain in and around Chennai has the potential to make the situation much worse. More details on the news of the flooding in Chennai can be found in The Hindu. More news on the situation in Sri Lanka can be found in The Lanka Academic.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Southern Andhra Pradesh should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings.


FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

092100Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 80.6E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (FANOOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. TC 06B CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF BROAD RIDGING OVER THE NORTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE STORM WILL BEGIN TO TURN SLIGHTLY MORE POLEWARD IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE CAUSED BY A DEEPENING MIDLATITUDE LOW CENTERED OVER NORTHERN PAKISTAN. THE SYSTEM IS WELL ORGANIZED AND IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN SO UNTIL LANDFALL ALTHOUGH GROUND INTERACTIONS WILL WEAKEN IT SOMEWHAT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z.


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 10th.
Cyclonic storm "Fanoos", according to latest observations, is moving toward Jaffna Peninsula. It is likely to cross Jaffna Peninsula between midnight (09th) and tomorrow morning. The sea areas off the coast extending from Mannar to Trincomalee via Jaffna will experience very rough conditions, strong winds and intermittent rain and thundershowers. Therefore, it is requested to refrain from fishing and naval activities in the said areas.

Northern, Northwestern, Eastern and North central provinces will experience rain or thundershowers with strong winds. Cloudy and occasional rain and thundershowers with fairly strong winds are expected in the Central, Western, and Sabaragamuwa provinces.

Winds will be Northwesterly or Variable and the speed will be 40-80 km/h gusting up to 100 km/h in the northern areas.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/30 Dated : 10th December, 2005
Subject : Cyclone Warning for Tamilnadu Coast

The Cyclonic Storm, 'Fanoos' over southwest Bay of Bengal Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centered at 2330 IST of 9th December 2005 near Lat. 10.50 N and Long. 81.50 E about 230 km southeast of Cuddalore. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a westerly direction and cross Tamilnadu coast between Tondi and Pondicherry around noon of 10th December 2005.

Under its influence widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls are likely over coastal Tamilnadu and south coastal Andhra Pradesh during next 24 to 36 hours. Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls also likely over interior Tamilnadu and Rayalaseema during the same period.

Gale force wind speed reaching 70-80 kmph are likely along and off Tamilnadu coast between Tondi and Pondicherry damaging thatched huts, breaking of tree branches causing minor damage to power and communication line in coastal Tamilnadu between Tondi and Pondicherry during next 24 hours. Squally winds with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely along and off rest Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh coasts during the same period.

Storm surge of 1 - 2 metres above astronomical tide likely to occur around the point of landfall inundating low lying areas.

State of sea will be high to very high along and off Tamilnadu coast between Tondi and Pondicherry and rough to very rough along and off rest Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh coasts. Fishermen along these coasts are advised not to venture into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

1). HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS ARE LIKELY AT A FEW PLACES OVER COASTAL TAMIL NADU & PONDICHERRY AND SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH DURING NEXT 36 HOURS. ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS ALSO LIKELY OVER INTERIOR TAMILNADU AND RAYALASEEMA DURING THE SAME PERIOD.

2. GALE WITH WIND SPEED REACHING 60-70 KMPH ARE LIKELY TO COMMENCE BY TONIGHT ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMILNADU COAST. SQUALLY WINDS SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY TO COMMENCE BY TONIGHT ALONG AND OFF SOUTH TAMILANDU AND SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS. STATE OF SEA WILL BE VERY ROUGH TO HIGH AS ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMILNADU AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF SOUTH TAMILNADU AND SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS . FISHERMEN ALONG THE ABOVE COASTS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA.


APCEDI will continue to monitor the progress of Cyclone Fanoos as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top right-hand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD 2), #7, 2006: Cyclone Fanoos Bears Down on Sri Lanka's Jaffna Peninsula / India's Tamil Nadu Coast

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology are continuing to provide guidance on Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD2) in the Bay of Bengal.

Cyclone Fanoos is located about 200 km east-northeast of Jaffna, Sri Lanka or 300 km southeast of Cuddalore, Tamil Nadu and has slowed its forward movement in the last few hours. It is maintaining its current strength. The JTWC has issued 8 cyclone alerts for this system. Heavy outer rain bands of the system are beginning to move onshore in Northern Sri Lanka and Tamil Nadu. This is increasingly becoming a serious situation for both Southeast India and Northern Sri Lanka with both nations likely to be impacted by Fanoos. Both countries are warning all maritime and fishing interests in affected areas to stay in port. Sri Lankan authorities are now calling for the possibility of Fanoos crossing over or just north of the Jaffna Peninsula later today. If this eventuates, damage on the Jaffna Peninsula could be widespread and locally severe. Tsunami refugees in these areas, many still in temporary shelters, could be particularly badly affected.

Given the heavy flooding in Tamil Nadu from Cyclone Baaz, and the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka from subsequent tropical waves, Cyclone Fanoos has the potential to cause widespread severe to localised devastating flooding across the area in and around where it comes ashore including areas of Northern Sri Lanka and coastal Tamil Nadu State. This includes storm surge flooding, continued flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas. Chennai's 2 main rivers, the Adyar and Cooum continue at or near flood stage in many areas throughout the city and in rural areas. Thus any additional heavy rain in and around Chennai in the few days has the potential to make the situation much worse. More details on the news of the flooding in Chennai can be found in The Hindu. More news on the situation in Sri Lanka can be found in The Lanka Academic.

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Southern Andhra Pradesh should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings.


FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

090900Z POSITION NEAR 10.3N 82.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (FANOOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090010Z QUIKSCAT IMAGE INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT APPROACHES A REGION OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRIER AIR, AND AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z AND 100900Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 10th.
Cyclonic storm "Fanoos", according to latest observations, is moving toward Jaffna Peninsula. It is likely to cross Jaffna Peninsula between midnight (09th) and tomorrow morning. The sea areas off the coast extending from Mannar to Trincomalee via Jaffna will experience very rough conditions, strong winds and intermittent rain and thundershowers. Therefore, it is requested to refrain from fishing and naval activities in the said areas.

Northern, Northwestern, Eastern and North central provinces will experience rain or thundershowers with strong winds. Cloudy and occasional rain and thundershowers with fairly strong winds are expected in the Central, Western, and Sabaragamuwa provinces.

Winds will be Northwesterly or Variable and the speed will be 40-80 km/h gusting up to 100 km/h in the northern areas.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/27 Dated : 09th December, 2005
Subject : Cyclone alert for Tamil Nadu Coast

The Cyclonic Storm, 'Fanoos' over southwest Bay of Bengal remained practically stationary and lay centered at 1430 IST of 9th December, 2005 near Lat. 10.50 N and Long. 82.500 E about 300 km southeast of Cuddalore. The system is likely to move in a west-northwesterly direction and cross north Tamilnadu Coast between Vedaranniyam and Pondicherry by tomorrow afternoon.

Under its influence widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls are likely over coastal Tamilnadu and south coastal Andhra Pradesh during next 36 hours. Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls also likely over Interior Tamilnadu and Rayalaseema during the same period.

Gales with wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph are likely to commence by tonight along and off North Tamilnadu Coast. Squally wind with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely to commence by tonight along and off south Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh Coasts.

State of sea will be very rough to high along and off north Tamilnadu and rough to very rough along and off south Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh Coasts. Fishermen along the above coasts are advised not to venture into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

1). HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS ARE LIKELY AT A FEW PLACES OVER COASTAL TAMIL NADU & PONDICHERRY AND SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH DURING NEXT 36 HOURS. ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS ALSO LIKELY OVER INTERIOR TAMILNADU AND RAYALASEEMA DURING THE SAME PERIOD.

2. GALE WITH WIND SPEED REACHING 60-70 KMPH ARE LIKELY TO COMMENCE BY TONIGHT ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMILNADU COAST. SQUALLY WINDS SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY TO COMMENCE BY TONIGHT ALONG AND OFF SOUTH TAMILANDU AND SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS. STATE OF SEA WILL BE VERY ROUGH TO HIGH AS ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMILNADU AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF SOUTH TAMILNADU AND SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS . FISHERMEN ALONG THE ABOVE COASTS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA.


APCEDI will continue to monitor the progress of Cyclone Fanoos as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top right-hand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD 2), #6, 2006: Cyclone Fanoos Approaches Sri Lanka and Southeast India

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology are continuing to provide guidance on Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD2) in the Bay of Bengal.

Cyclone Fanoos is located about 300 km northeast of Trincomalee, Sri Lanka or 400 km southeast of Chennai, Tamil Nadu and is moving to the west at 07 kt. It is maintaining its current strength. The JTWC has issued 8 cyclone alerts for this system. Outer rainbands of the system are beginning to move onshore in Northern Sri Lanka and Tamil Nadu. With the continuing westward track, this is increasingly becoming a serious situation for both Southeast India and Northern Sri Lanka. Both countries are warning all maritime and fishing interests in affected areas to stay in port.

Given the heavy flooding in Tamil Nadu from Cyclone Baaz, and the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka from subsequent tropical waves, Cyclone Fanoos has the potential to cause widespread severe to localised devastating flooding across the area in and around where it comes ashore. This includes storm surge flooding, continued flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas. Chennai's 2 main rivers, the Adyar and Cooum continue at or near flood stage in many areas throughout the city and in rural areas. Thus any additional heavy rain in and around Chennai in the few days has the potential to make the situation much worse. More details on the news of the flooding in Chennai can be found in The Hindu

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Southern Andhra Pradesh should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings.


FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

090900Z POSITION NEAR 10.3N 82.4E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (FANOOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 090010Z QUIKSCAT IMAGE INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT APPROACHES A REGION OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRIER AIR, AND AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION INTERACTS WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z AND 100900Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 09th.
The cyclonic storm "Fanoos" was located about 300km Northeast of Trincomalee at 09/0900 hours. It is moving to the West direction and is likely to be about 100 km north of Jaffna by tomorrow (10th) morning. Under its influence the deep and shallow sea areas off the coast extending from Mannar to Trincomalee via Jaffna will experience very rough conditions, strong winds and intermittent rain and thundershowers. Therefore, it is requested to refrain from fishing and naval activities in the said areas.

Northern, Northwestern, Eastern and North central provinces will experience rain or thundershowers with strong winds. Cloudy and occasional rain and thundershowers with fairly strong winds are expected in the Central, Western, and Sabaragamuwa provinces.

Winds will be Northwesterly or Variable and the speed will be 40-80 km/h gusting up to 100 km/h in the northern areas.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/25 Dated : 09th December, 2005
Subject : Cyclone alert for Tamil Nadu Coast

The Cyclonic Storm, 'Fanoos' over southwest Bay of Bengal moved westwards and lay centered at 0830 IST of 9th December, 2005 near Lat. 10.50 N and Long. 83.00 E about 400 km southeast of Chennai. The system is likely to move in a west-northwesterly direction and cross north Tamilnadu Coast between Nagapattinam and Chennai by tomorrow noon.

Under its influence widespread rainfall with scattered heavy to very heavy falls are likely over coastal Tamilnadu and south coastal Andhra Pradesh during next 36 hours. Fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls also likely over Interior Tamilnadu and Rayalaseema during the same period.

Gales with wind speed reaching 60-70 kmph are likely to commence from tonight along and off North Tamilnadu Coast. Squally wind with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely to commence by tonight along and off south Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh Coasts.

State of sea will be very rough to high along and off north Tamilnadu and rough to very rough along and off south Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh Coasts. Fishermen along the above coasts are advised not to venture into the sea.

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

1). HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY FALLS ARE LIKELY AT A FEW PLACES OVER COASTAL TAMIL NADU & PONDICHERRY AND SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH DURING NEXT 36 HOURS. ISOLATED HEAVY FALLS ALSO LIKELY OVER INTERIOR TAMILNADU AND RAYALASEEMA DURING THE SAME PERIOD.

2. GALE WITH WIND SPEED REACHING 60-70 KMPH ARE LIKELY TO COMMENCE BY TONIGHT ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMILNADU COAST. SQUALLY WINDS SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH ALSO LIKELY TO COMMENCE BY TONIGHT ALONG AND OFF SOUTH TAMILANDU AND SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS. STATE OF SEA WILL BE VERY ROUGH TO HIGH AS ALONG AND OFF NORTH TAMILNADU AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH ALONG AND OFF SOUTH TAMILNADU AND SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS . FISHERMEN ALONG THE ABOVE COASTS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA.


APCEDI will continue to monitor the progress of Cyclone Fanoos as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top right-hand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD 2), #5, 2006: Cyclone Fanoos Strengthens in Bay of Bengal, Threatens Sri Lanka and Southeast India

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology are continuing to provide guidance on Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD2) in the Bay of Bengal.

Cyclone Fanoos is located about 540 km northeast of Trincomalee, Sri Lanka or 650 km east-southeast of Chennai, Tamil Nadu and is moving to the west-northwest at 04 kt. It is slowly strengthening. The JTWC has issued 6 cyclone alerts for this system.

With the continuing increase in intensity and the movement to the west-northwest, this is increasingly becoming a serious situation for both Southeast India and Northern Sri Lanka. Both countries are warning all maritime and fishing interests in affected areas to stay in port or if at sea, to seek shelter at the closest point immediately.

Given the heavy flooding in Tamil Nadu from Cyclone Baaz, and the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka from subsequent tropical waves, Cyclone Fanoos has the potential to cause widespread severe to localised devastating flooding across the area in and around where it comes ashore. This includes storm surge flooding, continued flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas. Chennai's 2 main rivers, the Adyar and Cooum continue at or near flood stage in many areas throughout the city and in rural areas. Thus any additional heavy rain in and around Chennai in the few days has the potential to make the situation much worse. More details on the news of the flooding in Chennai can be found in The Hindu

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Southern Andhra Pradesh should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings.


FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

080900Z POSITION NEAR 10.5N 85.3E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (FANOOS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 350 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE SYSTEM HAS TURNED NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 06B IS MOVING SLOWLY IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT AS IT RECEIVES STEERING INFLUENCE FROM TWO ADJACENT RIDGES. THE SYSTEM HAS SHOWN SOME IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, INGESTION OF DRY STABLE AIR, AND INTERACTION WITH LAND. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z AND 090900Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 08th.
The cyclonic storm "Fanoos" in the Bay of Bengal was about 600km North-East of Trincomalee at 07/2030 hours. It is moving to the west. The fishing and naval community is further advised to refrain their activities in the deep sea beyond 200kms off the coast from the North-Eastern coast.

There will be showers at a few places in the Northern, Eastern and Uva provinces. Thundershowers will develop at a few places in the Central, Sabaragamuwa and Southern provinces during the afternoon or night.

Under the influence of cyclonic storm "Fanoos" in the Bay of Bengal, the deep seas off the coast extending from Jaffna to Batticoloa via Trincomalee will experience very rough conditions, strong winds and intermittent rain and thundershowers.

Winds will be Northwesterly or Variable and the speed will be 20-40 km/h.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

No. BOB/12/2005/19 Dated : 08th December, 2005
Subject : Cyclone alert for Tamil Nadu Coast

The Cyclonic Storm, 'Fanoos' over southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal moved slowly westward and lay centered at 1430 IST of 8th December, 2005 near Lat. 10.50 N and Long. 85.00 E about 600 km east-southeast of Chennai. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a westerly direction towards Tamilnadu Coast during next 48 hours.

Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls are likely to commence along Tamilnadu-south Andhra Pradesh coast from 9th morning onwards. Strong winds with speed reaching 60-70 kmph also likely to commence from 9th morning along and off the above coast.

State of sea will become very rough to high as the system comes nearer. Fishermen along the above coast are advised not to venture into the sea.

WARNINGS

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING

1). ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN LIKELY COMMENCE OVER COASTAL TAMIL NADU & PONDICHERRY AND SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH FROM 9TH MORNING.

2). STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 60-70 KMPH AND ARE LIKELY ALONG & OFF ABOVE COASTS AROUND THE SAME TIME. STATE OF SEA WILL BECOME VERY ROUGH TO HIGH AS THE SYSTEM COMES NEARER. FISHERMEN ALONG THE ABOVE ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA OVER THESE AREAS.


APCEDI will continue to monitor this cyclone as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top right-hand corner.

APCEDI ALERT Sri Lanka-BOBW, Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD 2), #4, 2006: Cyclone Fanoos forms in Bay of Bengal, Threatens Sri Lanka and Southeast India

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) and the Sri Lanka and India Departments of Meteorology are providing guidance on Cyclone Fanoos (06B/TD2) in the Bay of Bengal. Cyclone O6B, formally Tropical Depression TD2, was named Fanoos by the Indian Department of Meteorology this morning.

Cyclone Fanoos is located about 600 km northeast of Trincomalee, Sri Lanka or 750 km east-southeast of Chennai, Tamil Nadu and is moving to the southwest at 04 kt. The JTWC has issued 4 cyclone alerts for this system.

With the increase in intensity and the movement to the southwest, this is increasingly becoming a serious situation for both Sri Lanka and Southeast India. Both countries are warning all maritime and fishing interests in affected areas to stay in port or if at sea, to seek shelter at the closest point immediately.

Given the heavy flooding in Tamil Nadu from Cyclone Baaz, and the saturation of soils throughout much of Southeast India and Sri Lanka from subsequent tropical waves, Cyclone Fanoos has the potential to cause widespread severe to localised devastating flooding across the area in and around where it comes ashore. This includes storm surge flooding, continued flooding of large area rivers and flash-flooding in hill areas. Chennai's 2 main rivers, the Adyar and Cooum continue at or near flood stage in many areas throughout the city and in rural areas. Thus any additional heavy rain in and around Chennai in the next 2-3 days has the potential to make the situation much worse. More details on the news of the flooding in Chennai can be found in The Hindu

Authorities, aid workers and residents, especially in Northern and Eastern Sri Lanka and in Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh should maintain extreme vigilance with this system. Government and aid workers (including all AFAP, NSRC, RRI and other affiliated aid workers) along the Sri Lankan coast and in flood prone areas, should continue to carefully monitor this system and be prepared to assist communities in which they are working should the situation warrant and the Government of Sri Lanka issue any flood or storm warnings.


FROM JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/jtwc.html

070900Z POSITION NEAR 10.9N 86.7E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADRAS, INDIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN TO SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED OVER THE NORTHERN ARABIAN SEA. DUE TO THE CURRENT AND FORECAST ENVIRONMENT OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, INTENSIFICATION AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE IS EXPECTED THROUGH TAU 48. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z AND 080900Z.//


SRI LANKA DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.meteo.slt.lk/index.html

For December 07th.
The depression in the Bay of Bengal has intensified unto a cyclonic storm and was about 600km North-East of Trincomalee at 07/1000 hours. It is moving to the west-northwest direction, The fishing and naval community is further advised to refrain their activities in the deep sea beyond 300kms off the coast from the North-Eastern coast.

There will be showers at a few places in the Eastern and Uva provinces. Scattered thundershowers will develop in the Central, Sabaragamuwa, Southern, Western and North-western provinces during the afternoon and night.

North-Eastern deep seas will be rough.


INDIAN DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY
http://www.imd.gov.in/

o. BOB/12/2005/10 Dated : 07th December, 2005

Subject : Cyclone over southeast Bay of Bengal

The Cyclonic Storm 'Fanoos' over southeast Bay of Bengal moved slightly westwards and lay centered at 1130 IST of 7th December, 2005 near Lat. 11.00 N and Long. 87.00 E about 750 km east-southeast of Chennai. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a westerly direction towards Tamilnadu Coast during next 48 hours.

Under its influence fairly widespread rainfall with isolated heavy falls are likely to commence along Tamilnadu-south Andhra Pradesh coast from 8th evening onwards. Strong winds with speed reaching 50-60 kmph also likely to commence from 8th evening along and off the above coast.

State of sea will become rough to very rough from that time onwards. Fishermen along the above coast are advised not to venture into the sea.

WARNINGS

HEAVY RAINFALL WARNING
1. ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN COMMENCE OVER COASTAL TAMIL NADU AND SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH FROM 8TH EVENING. 2. STRONG WINDS WITH SPEED REACHING 50-60 KMPH AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEA CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY ALONG & OFF ABOVE COASTS AROUND THE SAME TIME. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THE SEA OVER THESE AREAS.


APCEDI will continue to monitor this cyclone as it moves toward India and Sri Lanka.

While APCEDI does not normally monitor cyclones in the Bay of Bengal, given AFAP's tsunami relief effort and that of many agencies in the region, APCEDI will continue to bring reports from this region, as warranted, for the next year or longer if needed.

Kevin Vang
APCEDI Coordinator
http://www.afap.org/apcedi/

To donate to AFAP's Disaster Preparedness, Relief and Rehabilitation Programs in Asia and the Pacific, go to http://www.afap.org and click on the "Donate On-Line" icon in the top right-hand corner.